Obvious-Thrill
0x4e3a7a21135e91bb1934acabd0acd8899a3bf3ed
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-48.0K
Realised
$2.0K
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
62846 shares @ 66.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-41.7K
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
14750 shares @ 33.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-5.0K
- YES
Will there be another debate?
7773 shares @ 28.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-2.2K
- KAMALA
Favorite to win on Polymarket on Friday?
5800 shares @ 17.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 6, 2024$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
Will the AP call the election on November 19?
511 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2024$0.00
$-0.51
- YES
Will Max Verstappen win the Dutch Grand Prix?
161 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 25, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
120 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2024$0.00
$-2.88
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
14 shares @ 50.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-7.04
- YES
Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
1 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.03
- YES
Will Chris Christie win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
1 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.03
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.08Nov 7, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$2.0KNov 6, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$111.81Nov 6, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$4.0KNov 6, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$6.3KNov 6, 01:56 UTC
- TRADESELLKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$7.0KNov 6, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$13.2KNov 6, 01:38 UTC
- TRADESELLKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$6.6KNov 6, 01:37 UTC
- TRADESELLKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$963.23Nov 6, 01:11 UTC
- TRADESELLKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$5.3KNov 6, 01:11 UTC
- TRADESELLKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$37.63Nov 6, 01:08 UTC
- TRADESELLKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$188.94Nov 6, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$6.2KNov 6, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$3.1KNov 6, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$352.00Nov 6, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$42.55Nov 6, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$1.2KNov 6, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$2.0KNov 6, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$2.3KNov 6, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$525.00Nov 6, 00:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $2.4K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 7, 08:40 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 7, 00:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.