Filthy-Yahoo
0x4e3e00e2d66ca36a6d7689296caad51671c67efb
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$59.08
Total PnL
$-14.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
16 shares @ 87.5¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$14.89
$0.89
- NO
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
9 shares @ 92.2¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.47
$0.47
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in June?
8 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$8.13
$0.13
- NO
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?
6 shares @ 94.6¢·now 94.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.98
$-0.02
- YES
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?
6 shares @ 95.8¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$5.95
$-0.05
- NO
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?
6 shares @ 97.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$5.54
$-0.46
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?
6 shares @ 82.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$5.09
$0.09
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$5.02
$0.02
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?
28 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.70
- NO
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
7 shares @ 91.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?$14.29Jun 21, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$14.09Jun 20, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?$13.06Jun 20, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by June 15, 2026?$8.13Jun 16, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$9.47Jun 9, 05:31 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$9.47Jun 8, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$9.02Jun 2, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 15, 2026?$8.01Jun 2, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in June?$8.01Jun 2, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$8.00Jun 2, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$9.00Jun 2, 09:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$5.95Jun 2, 01:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?$6.20Jun 1, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?$6.19May 29, 23:49 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 24?$5.95May 27, 03:29 UTC
- REDEEMSolstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?$6.59May 26, 22:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?$5.49May 24, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 21?$5.12May 22, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$5.00May 21, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?$5.00May 21, 14:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $6.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 18:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 21, 20:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.