Rough-Tote
0x4e3e64a49642598a609dac8426542b31f3e1c414
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
75
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$-12.20
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 75- NO
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?
11000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
1310 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.32
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of March?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?
385 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- MANCHESTER CITY FC
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)
304 shares @ 26.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-80.98
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
280 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-14.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
278 shares @ 86.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-239.45
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
276 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.13
- YES
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?
177 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-115.00
- YES
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-08?
166 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-53.27
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$2.80Mar 13, 12:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?$1.79Mar 13, 12:29 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$1.00Mar 13, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$40.38Mar 12, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$100.00Mar 12, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$100.00Mar 12, 08:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$240.39Mar 12, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$235.60Mar 12, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$100.00Mar 12, 08:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$124.20Mar 12, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$100.00Mar 12, 08:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$101.01Mar 12, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$100.00Mar 12, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$109.92Mar 12, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$97.00Mar 12, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$94.98Mar 12, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$90.00Mar 12, 07:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$62.31Mar 12, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$50.00Mar 12, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$5.00Mar 12, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $86.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 22:39 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 13, 12:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.