Light-Basket
0x4e3f58b91d1c156d985e968d8f0a2b3ab83de242
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$5.14
Total PnL
$-35.86
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
5 shares @ 96.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$5.14
$0.14
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 65-66°F on October 2?
5457 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 2, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- CHICKEN COOP ESPORTS
Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs regain (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #4 Playoffs
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-04-29?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- BILIBILI GAMING
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs 100 Thieves (BO1)
17 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2025-09-25?
7 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- PISTONS
Pistons vs. Cavaliers
5 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- VITALIY SACHKO
Zagreb: Arthur Fery vs Vitaliy Sachko
4 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- CHICAGO CUBS
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- PABLO LLAMAS RUIZ
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniil Medvedev
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$3.09May 13, 14:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?$10.17May 12, 15:58 UTC
- REDEEMUnics Kazan vs. BC Zenit$2.38May 11, 23:27 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage$4.35May 11, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$3.00May 11, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage$1.02May 11, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnics Kazan vs. BC Zenit$1.02May 11, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYZagreb: Arthur Fery vs Vitaliy Sachko$2.03May 11, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniil Medvedev$1.01May 11, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Cavaliers$2.04May 11, 16:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?$11.12Apr 30, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs regain (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #4 Playoffs$1.03Apr 30, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?$10.00Apr 30, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?$6.00Apr 30, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?$5.00Apr 30, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-04-29?$1.03Apr 30, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$5.01Apr 30, 03:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Partido Popular (PP) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election?$28.93Apr 30, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Partido Popular (PP) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election?$28.06Feb 14, 08:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix (NFLX) finish week of December 1 above $60?$0.00Jan 30, 09:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $10.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 29, 16:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 14:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".