Doting-Bonsai
0x4e40ee397e69547a1a9c95d3eb094e6fdad793ec
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
69
Open notional
$21.95
Total PnL
$-189.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 69- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
6 shares @ 83.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.79
$-0.21
- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
7 shares @ 57.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.10
$0.11
- TWISTED MINDS
Rocket League: Twisted Minds vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - RLCS World Championship Group C
6 shares @ 50.0¢·now 61.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$3.66
$0.66
- NO
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
7 shares @ 27.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.19
$0.19
- YES
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?
21 shares @ 4.8¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$1.74
$0.73
- NO
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$1.31
$0.15
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$1.13
$0.13
- YES
Will England win on 2026-06-17?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.97
$0.04
- YES
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
20 shares @ 4.5¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.91
$0.01
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 42.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.91
$-3.10
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-17?$9.81May 17, 23:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-17?$9.53May 17, 19:49 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: AS Roma (-1.5)$8.58May 17, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-17?$0.46May 17, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-17?$0.27May 17, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-17?$0.64May 17, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-17?$0.64May 17, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$1.00May 17, 12:53 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)$7.70May 17, 05:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-05-16?$11.13May 17, 05:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill SC Internacional win on 2026-05-16?$8.00May 17, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)$4.00May 17, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)$4.00May 17, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?$7.55May 16, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-05-16?$2.00May 16, 23:34 UTC
- REDEEMInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina$9.53May 16, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SC Internacional win on 2026-05-16?$4.00May 16, 21:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill SK Sigma Olomouc win on 2026-05-16?$6.67May 16, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins$4.00May 16, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-17?$3.00May 16, 19:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $2.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 14:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 23:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".