Elated-Fingernail
0x4e4380ceb0d28af010373fa5c65021ac5a874a34
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$135.57
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$30.45
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
190 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$30.30
$-0.13
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
50 shares @ 15.6¢·now 46.6¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$23.27
$15.47
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
110 shares @ 15.3¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$17.98
$1.16
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
170 shares @ 8.6¢·now 8.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$15.04
$0.34
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
128 shares @ 7.9¢·now 9.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$11.97
$1.82
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 5?
40 shares @ 17.7¢·now 23.8¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$9.54
$2.46
- NO
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
49 shares @ 20.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$5.68
$-4.20
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
300 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.65
$-0.25
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
70 shares @ 4.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.77
$-0.04
- YES
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
50 shares @ 6.8¢·now 5.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.70
$-0.70
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYToronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves$7.91Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.23Jun 4, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.96Jun 4, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.88Jun 4, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies$2.67Jun 4, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1$2.45Jun 4, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1$2.96Jun 4, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffs$1.54Jun 4, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMKnicks vs. Spurs$55.00Jun 4, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMKnicks vs. Spurs: O/U 211.5$20.00Jun 4, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$17.40Jun 4, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 5?$7.49Jun 4, 00:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 4?$0.27Jun 3, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 4?$0.00Jun 3, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs: O/U 211.5$7.34Jun 3, 23:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 3?$2.18Jun 3, 14:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 3?$4.99Jun 3, 14:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 3?$3.30Jun 3, 14:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $5.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 00:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".