Crafty-Disembodiment
0x4e48208edab0f6d9c9073ff4037e1c8eeb239e5d
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-80.74
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will "I'm Still Here" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?
945 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-15.95
- YES
Will "Flow" win Best International Feature Film at the 2025 Oscars?
185 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-3.91
- YES
Will Fernanda Torres win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?
105 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 2025 Oscars?
71 shares @ 29.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will Ariana Grande win Best Supporting Actress at the 2025 Oscars?
64 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.98
- YES
Will Donald Trump attend the Oscars?
61 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "A Real Pain" win Best Original Screenplay at the 2025 Oscars?
57 shares @ 17.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will "Wicked" win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 2025 Oscars?
54 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will "Nickel Boys" win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 2025 Oscars?
34 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will 'The Brutalist' win 6+ Oscars at the 2025 Academy Awards?
33 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.90
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill "I'm Still Here" win Best International Feature Film at the 2025 Oscars?$83.25Mar 3, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ariana Grande win Best Supporting Actress at the 2025 Oscars?$1.98Mar 1, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Nickel Boys" win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 2025 Oscars?$2.00Mar 1, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump attend the Oscars?$1.00Mar 1, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Wicked" win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 2025 Oscars?$5.00Mar 1, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 2025 Oscars?$5.00Mar 1, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "A Complete Unknown" win Best Sound at the 2025 Oscars?$5.00Mar 1, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernanda Torres win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?$5.00Mar 1, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "I'm Still Here" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$5.95Mar 1, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'The Brutalist' win 6+ Oscars at the 2025 Academy Awards?$1.90Mar 1, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Wicked' win 2 Oscars at the 2025 Academy Awards?$1.00Mar 1, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift attend the Oscars?$2.00Mar 1, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "A Real Pain" win Best Original Screenplay at the 2025 Oscars?$10.00Mar 1, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 2025 Oscars?$16.00Mar 1, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernanda Torres win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?$5.00Mar 1, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Flow" win Best International Feature Film at the 2025 Oscars?$3.91Mar 1, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "I'm Still Here" win Best International Feature Film at the 2025 Oscars?$50.00Mar 1, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "I'm Still Here" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$10.00Mar 1, 01:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $11.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 01:24 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 3, 04:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".