0x4e50e4b0f67b3238721dc59338225897143b1019
0x4e50e4b0f67b3238721dc59338225897143b1019
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-773.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump’s approval rating be <43.5% on July 25?
985 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-236.40
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 10AM ET
660 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2025$0.00
$-330.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - July 26, 12PM ET
185 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2025$0.00
$-92.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 59-60°F on March 18?
130 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2025$0.00
$-22.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be between 45-46°F on March 17?
80 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2025$0.00
$-66.40
- NO
Will Trump say "Drill baby drill" during his AI speech on July 23?
20 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2025$0.00
$-11.80
- YES
Will Trump's approval rating be between 47.0% and 47.4% on March 21?
15 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2025$0.00
$-8.85
- YES
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 58-59°F on March 22?
10 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2025$0.00
$-2.70
- YES
Will Susan Crawford win by less than 2%?
10 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Another Israel strike on Yemen by Friday?
5 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 26, 11AM ET$570.00Jul 26, 17:04 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 26, 4AM ET$855.00Jul 26, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 26, 4AM ET$110.00Jul 26, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 26, 4AM ET$317.50Jul 26, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 26, 12PM ET$92.50Jul 26, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 26, 11AM ET$10.00Jul 26, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 26, 11AM ET$197.50Jul 26, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 26, 11AM ET$77.50Jul 26, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 10AM ET$30.00Jul 26, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 10AM ET$47.50Jul 26, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 10AM ET$252.50Jul 26, 06:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6PM ET$935.00Jul 26, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother Israel strike on Yemen by Friday?$1.20Jul 24, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6PM ET$460.00Jul 24, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6PM ET$7.50Jul 24, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be <43.5% on July 25?$236.40Jul 24, 10:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 15+ times during his AI speech on July 23?$705.00Jul 24, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 15+ times during his AI speech on July 23?$493.50Jul 23, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Drill baby drill" during his AI speech on July 23?$11.80Jul 23, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Susan Crawford win by less than 2%?$1.30Apr 1, 16:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $90.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 08:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 26, 17:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".