Excitable-Twist
0x4e5132e9baa18931539a5ed515c30230e77592bf
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$854.46
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$-45.74
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
1022 shares @ 64.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$490.58
$-163.53
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3500 shares @ 4.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$138.25
$-1.75
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$95.00
$5.00
- NO
Will no country replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3129 shares @ 6.1¢·now 2.7¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$84.49
$-107.88
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1389 shares @ 1.8¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$29.72
$4.72
- YES
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1667 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.17
$-0.83
- YES
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will UAE replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
150 shares @ 2.1¢·now 1.3¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.88
$-1.25
- YES
Will Wesley So win Norway Chess 2026?
755 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.38
$-112.86
- YES
Will Matthias Bluebaum win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
3209 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?$2.72Jun 4, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?$2.65Jun 4, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?$2.68Jun 4, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?$1.81Jun 4, 08:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no country replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.87Jun 3, 05:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vincent Keymer win Norway Chess 2026?$2.02Jun 2, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vincent Keymer win Norway Chess 2026?$0.97Jun 2, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vincent Keymer win Norway Chess 2026?$1.20Jun 2, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vincent Keymer win Norway Chess 2026?$1.07Jun 2, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vincent Keymer win Norway Chess 2026?$0.90Jun 2, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vincent Keymer win Norway Chess 2026?$0.68Jun 2, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vincent Keymer win Norway Chess 2026?$5.41Jun 2, 02:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no country replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.41Jun 1, 12:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?$27.87Jun 1, 12:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?$128.74Jun 1, 11:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $50.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 29, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".