Attentive-Chairman-Dolor
0x4e517efb173673cf979c7eee93175b25b665dd4f
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
112
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$-66.77
Win rate
0%
112 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 112- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 94°F or higher on June 29?
689 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
537 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 29?
445 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 29?
399 shares @ 22.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-89.30
- YES
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?
360 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-97.26
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?
302 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
275 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 29?
265 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
233 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$40.85Jul 12, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Switzerland?$10.47Jul 12, 00:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$9.78Jul 12, 00:39 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.71Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score AND Lionel Messi: 1+ goals AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? AND Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?$19.99Jul 11, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$1.07Jul 11, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$1.07Jul 11, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$10.41Jul 11, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$10.36Jul 11, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$10.35Jul 11, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$10.35Jul 11, 13:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$62.19Jul 11, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$1.07Jul 11, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$10.58Jul 11, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$10.30Jul 11, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$10.23Jul 11, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$10.23Jul 11, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$10.23Jul 11, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$5.33Jul 11, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$5.31Jul 11, 13:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 112 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 28/100.
112 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $9.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 12:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 03:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 112 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.