Rural-Ligula
0x4e5a9f220ded859a97af7c74369269d3a447ee7e
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$83.02
Total PnL
$34.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Trump pardon George Santos in 2025?
21 shares @ 14.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$20.67
$17.67
- YES
Will Trump endorse a candidate for NYC Mayor?
19 shares @ 27.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$18.52
$13.52
- YES
Will Kathy Hochul endorse Mamdani?
16 shares @ 32.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$15.63
$10.63
- NO
Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?
11 shares @ 44.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 29, 2025$11.36
$6.36
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
7 shares @ 61.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$6.50
$2.50
- YES
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
3 shares @ 32.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.13
$2.13
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
20 shares @ 15.0¢·now 14.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.87
$-0.13
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
21 shares @ 4.8¢·now 7.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.55
$0.55
- YES
Will the Democratic candidate win the NYC mayoral election?
1 shares @ 84.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$1.18
$0.18
- NO
Will Apple acquire Perplexity in 2025?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.08
$0.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?$2.00Aug 18, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.00Aug 17, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.00Aug 17, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple acquire Perplexity in 2025?$1.00Aug 17, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release a new product line in 2025?$1.00Aug 17, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYX relaunches Vine in 2025?$1.00Aug 17, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI browser by August 31?$1.00Aug 17, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump Mobile smartphone released before September?$1.00Aug 17, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?$1.00Aug 17, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Obama endorse Mamdani?$2.00Aug 17, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic candidate win the NYC mayoral election?$1.00Aug 17, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration this year?$1.00Aug 17, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ghislaine Maxwell testify before Congress in 2025?$1.00Aug 17, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUY"Trump Burger" owner deported by September 30?$2.00Aug 17, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kathy Hochul endorse Mamdani?$5.00Aug 17, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Poilievre regain a seat in Canadian Parliament in 2025?$3.00Aug 17, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump endorse a candidate for NYC Mayor?$5.00Aug 17, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon George Santos in 2025?$3.00Aug 17, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$4.00Aug 17, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?$5.00Aug 17, 14:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $2.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 17, 14:37 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 00:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.