Nocturnal-Gelding
0x4e5b5d979ec5fa6b33c56e0d023c4f2e629878c4
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$8.59
Total PnL
$-17.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
75 shares @ 13.2¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.59
$-1.31
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
17722 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-8.9K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
4572 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-2.3K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
2400 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
2220 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
2210 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
2006 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
1904 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-952.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
1900 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-950.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
183 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-91.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Mar 24, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.90Mar 18, 02:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Melania" score at least 5 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$10.00Mar 18, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Melania" score at least 5 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$9.98Feb 2, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$4.92Feb 2, 06:50 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$4.92Feb 2, 06:50 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - January 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$5.00Feb 2, 06:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be between 75k and 100k?$287.00Feb 2, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be between 75k and 100k?$177.94Jan 12, 03:07 UTC
- REDEEMGTA VI released in 2025?$1.01Jan 12, 02:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Atlas have a Windows app live by December 31?$1.03Jan 12, 02:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?$1.51Jan 12, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight?$41.47Jan 12, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - January 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$2.50Jan 12, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - January 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$2.50Jan 12, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$2.50Jan 12, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$2.50Jan 12, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - January 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$2.50Jan 12, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - January 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$2.50Jan 12, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$2.50Jan 12, 02:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $827.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 21, 09:55 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 24, 00:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".