Brilliant-Choker
0x4e64e65155e0c40c7d42c00403a86aa53b442e76
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$16.41
Total PnL
$-3.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Trudeau resigns before February?
7 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$6.67
$3.67
- YES
Canada election called before April?
5 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$5.26
$2.26
- YES
Trudeau out before April?
4 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$4.48
$1.48
- YES
Trudeau resigns by Friday?
333 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Trudeau out in 2024?
48 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Another Trudeau cabinet resignation by Friday?
11 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrudeau out in 2024?$3.00Dec 20, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrudeau resigns before February?$3.00Dec 20, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanada election called before April?$3.00Dec 20, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrudeau out before April?$3.00Dec 20, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother Trudeau cabinet resignation by Friday?$5.00Dec 20, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrudeau resigns by Friday?$3.00Dec 20, 04:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $3.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 20, 04:39 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 20, 05:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.