Equatorial-Island
0x4e65a45620dcb294da2763e5f0031c2c13b89159
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$77.46
Total PnL
$-168.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 77.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.20
$-0.20
- NO
Will Taylor Swift perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?
20 shares @ 88.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2027$14.80
$-2.80
- NO
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
20 shares @ 81.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.50
$-4.70
- NO
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
10 shares @ 96.4¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.70
$0.05
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 85.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.25
$0.75
- NO
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
9 shares @ 93.3¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.96
$0.57
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
10 shares @ 72.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$8.05
$0.85
- YES
Will SPD win the most seats in the next German election?
3033 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-9.10
- NO
Will Russia capture Zarichne by February 28, 2026?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US confirms Havana Syndrome–causing device by March 31?
80 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$8.60May 27, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$0.84May 27, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?$17.60May 27, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$15.40May 27, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$8.50May 27, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$0.20May 27, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$7.20May 27, 19:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$10.00May 20, 12:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$26.88May 16, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$5.96May 12, 17:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$20.00Mar 9, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$17.69Mar 8, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$5.78Mar 8, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$1.97Mar 8, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$8.16Mar 8, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$9.88Mar 8, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$9.89Mar 8, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?$20.00Mar 8, 21:11 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$0.00Mar 4, 11:51 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$30.64Mar 4, 11:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $11.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 11:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 27, 20:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".