Shallow-Diadem
0x4e72c22cd76f9973a48aedfd79feeaacc8b7ffb9
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
184
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-7.1K
Realised
$507.44
Win rate
54%
61 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 184- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 13?
146 shares @ 34.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$145.56
$95.65
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 13?
46 shares @ 75.6¢·now 98.4¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$45.54
$10.52
- NO
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
48 shares @ 72.3¢·now 79.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$37.63
$3.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 13?
30 shares @ 54.8¢·now 99.5¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$30.13
$13.53
- NO
Will Wildcard Win the CS2 EWC 2026?
24 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$24.22
$-0.01
- NO
Will M80 Win the CS2 EWC 2026?
24 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$24.22
$-0.01
- NO
Will K27 Esports Win the CS2 EWC 2026?
24 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$24.22
$-0.01
- NO
Will MIBR.LOS Win the CS2 EWC 2026?
24 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$24.22
$0.01
- NO
Will magic Win the CS2 EWC 2026?
24 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$24.22
$-0.01
- NO
Will paiN Gaming Win the CS2 EWC 2026?
24 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$24.18
$0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on August 13?$0.06Aug 13, 05:08 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C or higher on August 13?$10.25Aug 13, 05:08 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 13?$10.25Aug 13, 05:08 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on August 13?$10.25Aug 13, 05:08 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 13?$10.25Aug 13, 05:08 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 13?$11.74Aug 13, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 13?$5.79Aug 13, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 13?$2.40Aug 13, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 13?$5.08Aug 13, 03:15 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 13?$8.16Aug 13, 03:15 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 13?$10.22Aug 13, 03:15 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 13?$10.22Aug 13, 03:15 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 13?$10.22Aug 13, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 13?$4.63Aug 13, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 13?$2.09Aug 13, 03:15 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 13?$6.03Aug 13, 03:15 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 13?$6.03Aug 13, 03:15 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 13?$6.03Aug 13, 03:15 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 13?$6.03Aug 13, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on August 13?$5.02Aug 13, 03:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
54% win rate over 61 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 29/100.
61 closed markets, 54% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $5.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 13, 03:01 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 05:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 61 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.