Sinful-Lyocell
0x4e7674bcbf383a5e8500220cd6ff234ede1cd740
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
38
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-981.85
Realised
$-75.94
Win rate
0%
38 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- YES
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
1019 shares @ 34.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-352.03
- NO
Trump kiss by May 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on May 24?
555 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Finland?
154 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Greece win on 2026-06-04?
152 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?
125 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
121 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
107 shares @ 42.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$25.60Jun 12, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece win on 2026-06-04?$35.81Jun 4, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$358.94Jun 4, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$21.38Jun 4, 09:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$20.94Jun 4, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$11.37Jun 4, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$9.43Jun 4, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$5.16Jun 4, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$5.10Jun 1, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$5.01Jun 1, 12:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$1.23Jun 1, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$35.50Jun 1, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$10.23May 31, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$5.34May 31, 21:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$17.93May 31, 21:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$0.00May 31, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$68.18May 31, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$102.84May 31, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$20.43May 31, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$10.24May 31, 21:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
61/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 38 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 32/100.
38 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $27.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 01:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 18:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 38 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.