Babyish-Tachometer
0x4e7a28857aa44b6b811043eb2b0742957605e81e
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$313.57
Total PnL
$-150.98
Realised
$-150.68
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
290 shares @ 51.6¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$277.39
$127.52
- YES
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
422 shares @ 4.5¢·now 3.1¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$13.09
$-5.91
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
65 shares @ 23.1¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.10
$-6.90
- NO
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
14 shares @ 36.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.46
$1.46
- YES
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?
28 shares @ 17.7¢·now 10.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$2.82
$-2.18
- YES
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?
21 shares @ 4.7¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by June 30?
24 shares @ 4.2¢·now 3.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 26?
29 shares @ 3.5¢·now 3.2¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.91
$-0.09
- YES
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 26?
38 shares @ 2.6¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.87
$-0.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce a blockade on Iran by June 30?$1.00Jun 23, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 26?$1.00Jun 23, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 26?$1.00Jun 23, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?$1.00Jun 23, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?$1.00Jun 23, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$0.00Jun 23, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$0.00Jun 23, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$0.00Jun 23, 08:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$1.13Jun 23, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$1.04Jun 23, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$1.02Jun 23, 08:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$2.03Jun 23, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$1.02Jun 23, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$1.04Jun 23, 08:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$0.92Jun 23, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$1.04Jun 23, 08:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$0.58Jun 23, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$1.03Jun 23, 08:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$2.44Jun 23, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$1.04Jun 23, 07:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $2.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 05:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 08:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.