0x4e853ea3329cc4ba8b7d4d1efe899c39ffe08414
0x4e853ea3329cc4ba8b7d4d1efe899c39ffe08414
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$17.18
Total PnL
$-2.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
17 shares @ 34.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$17.18
$11.34
- YES
US strikes Yemen before August?
3761 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Another Israel strike on Yemen by July 31?
2613 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-600.00
- YES
US strikes Yemen by August 31?
1999 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-58.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
1714 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-96.00
- YES
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?
1388 shares @ 20.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-290.00
- YES
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping by August 31?
717 shares @ 34.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-250.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
714 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
696 shares @ 70.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-489.86
- YES
Israel strikes Yemen by Friday?
643 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2025$0.00
$-347.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$6.00Apr 2, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$200.00Mar 8, 10:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?$85.50Mar 5, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$289.86Mar 5, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 7?$290.00Mar 5, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?$123.00Mar 5, 15:04 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$823.08Mar 5, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$321.00Jan 12, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?$320.00Oct 8, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$96.00Oct 8, 21:56 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by October 15?$94.67Oct 8, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by October 15?$177.00Oct 7, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?$200.00Oct 7, 17:54 UTC
- REDEEMSuccessful Houthi attack on shipping by September 30?$378.68Oct 2, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSuccessful Houthi attack on shipping by September 30?$139.00Sep 3, 17:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025?$82.10Sep 3, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother successful Houthi attack on shipping by August 31?$50.00Aug 31, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother successful Houthi attack on shipping by August 31?$200.00Aug 31, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atletico Madrid win on 2025-08-30?$40.00Aug 30, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Yemen by August 31?$20.00Aug 26, 11:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $193.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 22:32 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 2, 17:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".