Warlike-Care
0x4e8826e2e7b8133babafa28319bda568e006ec91
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$1.00
Total PnL
$-76.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 74°F or higher on May 7?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
1050 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on December 12?
900 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.80
- NO
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
550 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on January 5?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on November 3?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 7?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C or higher on March 12?
202 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 6th Weekend Box Office be greater than 9.5m?
201 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.22
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 December 15-21?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 5?$77.08Jun 5, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 5?$77.01Jun 4, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$77.08May 30, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$77.00May 26, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?$77.08May 23, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?$77.00May 22, 11:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?$76.15May 21, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?$76.01May 21, 10:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?$76.15May 9, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?$76.01May 9, 12:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?$75.08May 9, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 74°F or higher on May 7?$1.00May 7, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 7?$1.07May 7, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?$75.01May 7, 11:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86,000 on May 5?$78.08May 7, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86,000 on May 5?$78.01May 4, 09:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?$78.08May 4, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?$78.01Apr 29, 11:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 24?$78.07Apr 29, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 24?$78.00Apr 24, 11:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $60.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 11:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 18:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".