Upbeat-Lace
0x4e8a2983f18cbb0a53be9d91c4c9877d980cad94
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$85.60
Total PnL
$-5.7K
Realised
$-1.99
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 14?
50 shares @ 39.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$22.75
$3.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 14?
38 shares @ 39.0¢·now 37.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$14.06
$-0.76
- YES
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be below -4% in May?
40 shares @ 32.7¢·now 33.4¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$13.36
$0.28
- YES
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?
40 shares @ 24.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$9.80
$0.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on June 14?
66 shares @ 18.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$9.57
$-2.31
- YES
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -2% and 0% in May?
40 shares @ 10.2¢·now 10.1¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$4.02
$-0.06
- YES
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 2% and 4% in May?
40 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$3.80
$-0.20
- YES
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 0% and 2% in May?
40 shares @ 10.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$3.40
$-0.60
- YES
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 4% and 6% in May?
40 shares @ 6.5¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$2.04
$-0.56
- YES
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be at least 8% in May?
40 shares @ 2.4¢·now 4.8¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$1.90
$0.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on June 14?$5.40Jun 14, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on June 14?$2.62Jun 14, 00:19 UTC
- REWARD$1.31Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on June 13?$4.46Jun 13, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on June 14?$0.90Jun 13, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on June 14?$1.08Jun 13, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on June 14?$1.26Jun 13, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on June 14?$0.62Jun 13, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 14?$20.09Jun 13, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 14?$4.82Jun 13, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 14?$15.27Jun 13, 23:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 13?$23.00Jun 13, 22:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 13?$9.00Jun 13, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Durable Goods Orders MoM be at least 8% in May?$0.46Jun 13, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 13?$4.37Jun 13, 06:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 13?$2.22Jun 13, 05:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 12?$51.00Jun 13, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 13?$5.09Jun 13, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 13?$5.09Jun 13, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 13?$11.71Jun 13, 03:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $5.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 23:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.