Crazy-Expert
0x4e8b66fd9f420a22a18300d69b873360af03e404
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$20.14
Total PnL
$-0.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 16?
15 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$14.67
$7.92
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on June 17?
11 shares @ 38.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$5.46
$1.18
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 16?
13 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-9.16
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on June 17?$4.41Jun 16, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 16?$6.90Jun 16, 09:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 15?$0.00Jun 16, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 15?$14.87Jun 16, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 16?$9.33Jun 15, 15:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 13?$8.75Jun 15, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 15?$7.92Jun 14, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 15?$2.26Jun 14, 06:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 13?$2.38Jun 14, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 13?$1.36Jun 12, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 13?$3.25Jun 11, 20:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 10?$12.15Jun 11, 20:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on June 9?$13.98Jun 11, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 10?$8.76Jun 9, 12:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on June 8?$0.00Jun 9, 12:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 8?$3.83Jun 9, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on June 9?$8.07Jun 8, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 8?$1.58Jun 8, 02:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 7?$12.16Jun 8, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on June 8?$1.38Jun 7, 14:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $5.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 20, 23:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 16, 14:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.