Impossible-Carol
0x4e8c393a438746442129b304eb90d7c715d0c003
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-445.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
17349 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-95.47
- NO
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?
2167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- NO
Military action against Iran ends by April 24, 2026?
1959 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
Military action against Iran ends by April 28, 2026?
1441 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Military action against Iran ends by April 29, 2026?
1132 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?
1115 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Military action against Iran ends by April 27, 2026?
909 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
342 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-26.95
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
105 shares @ 28.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-29.70
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends by April 24, 2026?$40.00Apr 12, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?$30.00Apr 12, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends by April 28, 2026?$20.00Apr 12, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends by April 27, 2026?$20.00Apr 12, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends by April 29, 2026?$20.00Apr 12, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?$13.00Mar 29, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 6?$1.85Mar 10, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 6?$40.00Mar 10, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 6?$3.64Mar 10, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 6?$40.00Mar 10, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 6?$10.00Mar 10, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$15.00Mar 7, 17:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$17.59Mar 6, 06:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran first?$132.82Mar 6, 05:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$209.77Mar 3, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$199.27Mar 3, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$13.02Mar 2, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$1.00Mar 2, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$1.00Mar 2, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$10.00Mar 2, 07:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $18.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 04:47 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 12:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.