Ugly-Update
0x4e9021a8ab6b153766df5ef882f68c572bae4d95
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-10.08
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?
7833 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-18.99
- YES
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 23?
4938 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-121.86
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?
632 shares @ 60.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-381.39
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?
307 shares @ 58.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-179.86
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?
299 shares @ 80.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-239.26
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?
244 shares @ 47.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-115.00
- YES
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 28?
61 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
36 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-13.28
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
5 shares @ 92.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.07
- NO
Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?
4 shares @ 25.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$0.00Mar 1, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$5.14Feb 17, 10:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$3.75Feb 17, 10:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$1.47Feb 17, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$2.05Feb 17, 10:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$1.14Feb 17, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$1.00Feb 17, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$1.00Feb 17, 10:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$2.92Feb 17, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$1.54Feb 17, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$1.00Feb 17, 09:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$2.58Feb 17, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$3.55Feb 17, 09:55 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$2.80Feb 17, 09:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$0.75Feb 17, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$7.83Feb 17, 08:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$7.87Feb 17, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$9.15Feb 17, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$10.00Feb 17, 08:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$19.17Feb 17, 07:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $14.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 6, 08:19 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 06:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".