0x4e91490e8895507fe0adbb5940c4279a2ac46928
0x4e91490e8895507fe0adbb5940c4279a2ac46928
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$62.87
Total PnL
$-0.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
10 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.64
$0.14
- YES
Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?
7 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$7.06
$1.06
- NO
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?
6 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$6.49
$1.49
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?
6 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.75
$0.75
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
6 shares @ 89.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.55
$0.57
- NO
Will the Department of Homeland Security receive full-year funding by February 28, 2026?
5 shares @ 91.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$5.36
$0.43
- NO
State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?
5 shares @ 93.0¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.26
$0.25
- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 97.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.06
$0.15
- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
8 shares @ 66.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.66
$-0.34
- NO
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?
5 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$4.62
$1.62
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.09Jun 1, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?$4.91Feb 28, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?$4.98Feb 28, 17:13 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$5.05Feb 28, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$4.90Feb 28, 15:10 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$4.69Feb 28, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$4.97Feb 28, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYState of Siege declared in Chile by June 30? $5.00Feb 26, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Department of Homeland Security receive full-year funding by February 28, 2026?$4.93Feb 19, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYGovernment shutdown on Saturday?$1.00Feb 13, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYGovernment shutdown on Saturday?$4.96Feb 9, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYJeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?$1.00Feb 9, 04:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.02Feb 9, 04:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix (NFLX) close at $90-$100 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?$2.03Feb 9, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?$1.00Feb 6, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?$5.00Feb 5, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?$3.00Feb 5, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?$5.00Feb 5, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?$5.00Feb 5, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?$5.00Feb 5, 14:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $2.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 23, 12:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 07:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".