Frosty-Waiver
0x4e94d4ee8ad978db4aa509aa08e7264349569cbc
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-454.03
Realised
$-41.22
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- CSDIILIT
Counter-Strike: Washington vs CSDIILIT - Map 2 Winner
383 shares @ 25.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-96.71
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - January 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
333 shares @ 24.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-82.15
- CAVALIERS
Cavaliers vs. Pacers: 1H Moneyline
333 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
97 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- TIAFOE
Brisbane International: Daniil Medvedev vs Frances Tiafoe
95 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-19.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
75 shares @ 36.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-27.06
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
73 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-13.07
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
48 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-24.70
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - January 9, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
44 shares @ 55.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-24.62
- YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 7 be greater than 2,200,000?
34 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-23.00
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$0.44Jan 10, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$25.09Jan 9, 21:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$1.03Jan 9, 21:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$0.29Jan 9, 21:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$2.25Jan 9, 21:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$1.13Jan 9, 21:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$1.88Jan 9, 21:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$3.00Jan 9, 21:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$0.15Jan 9, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$25.00Jan 9, 21:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$0.00Jan 9, 21:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$40.36Jan 9, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$39.96Jan 9, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 9, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$25.00Jan 9, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$24.31Jan 9, 18:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$5.31Jan 9, 18:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$8.00Jan 9, 18:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$11.00Jan 9, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$20.52Jan 9, 18:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$19.82Jan 9, 18:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $17.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 7, 13:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 10, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".