Flustered-Election
0x4e94f7c121280748d507ec1729d1adab97043124
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$121.29
Total PnL
$-6.92
Realised
$11.18
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 19?
75 shares @ 25.1¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$26.68
$7.81
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 19?
40 shares @ 78.9¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$25.80
$-5.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on June 19?
78 shares @ 16.1¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$21.57
$8.94
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on June 19?
20 shares @ 92.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$14.50
$-3.90
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 19?
21 shares @ 41.6¢·now 53.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$11.29
$2.43
- NO
Will the announcers say "Combination" or "Sequence" 5+ times during UFC 250?
20 shares @ 88.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$9.60
$-8.00
- NO
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
20 shares @ 48.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$6.30
$-3.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 19?
40 shares @ 19.5¢·now 8.1¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$3.22
$-4.58
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 19?
12 shares @ 22.5¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$1.69
$-1.13
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 18?
16 shares @ 50.2¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.48
$-7.73
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 18?$31.00Jun 18, 04:52 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.08Jun 18, 04:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 18?$10.29Jun 18, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 18?$3.25Jun 18, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 18?$5.57Jun 18, 00:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 18?$10.71Jun 18, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 18?$3.50Jun 18, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 18?$6.74Jun 18, 00:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 18?$9.17Jun 18, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 18?$7.06Jun 18, 00:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 18?$6.92Jun 18, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 18?$6.27Jun 18, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 18?$31.59Jun 18, 00:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 18?$3.88Jun 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 18?$11.94Jun 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 18?$7.76Jun 18, 00:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 18?$1.94Jun 18, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 18?$17.56Jun 18, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 18?$5.32Jun 18, 00:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on June 17?$0.80Jun 17, 23:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $10.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 09:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 04:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.