Disgusting-Cicada
0x4e968c1b9e24773dec4220e04da319200142eddc
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.69
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the SPD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Republicans have between 210 and 214 seats in House after election?
529 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.87
- YES
Will Vladimir Putin attend presidential inauguration?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
WIll Christos Rammos be next Greek President?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the HBO documentary identify Wei Dai as Satoshi?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Republicans have 49 or fewer seats in Senate after election?
10 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will Elon tweet 550-574 times November 1-8?
10 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2024$0.00
$-0.01
- VIEIRA
Harrison vs. Vieira
2 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.30
- ROUNTREE JR.
Pereira vs. Rountree Jr.
2 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the SPD be part of the next German government?$113.96Apr 23, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the SPD be part of the next German government?$114.55Apr 23, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the SPD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?$1.00Mar 5, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWIll Christos Rammos be next Greek President?$1.00Feb 6, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vladimir Putin attend presidential inauguration?$1.00Jan 18, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republicans have between 210 and 214 seats in House after election?$1.87Nov 14, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 550-574 times November 1-8?$0.01Nov 7, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republicans have 49 or fewer seats in Senate after election?$0.01Nov 7, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYHarrison vs. Vieira$0.30Oct 5, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYPereira vs. Rountree Jr.$0.50Oct 5, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the HBO documentary identify Wei Dai as Satoshi?$1.00Oct 5, 14:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $21.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 5, 14:30 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 23, 12:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".