Smug-Whorl
0x4e972c295e6b7bf08d0846295707d357eb09d3b6
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
73
Open notional
$1.09
Total PnL
$-912.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 73- NO
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.06
$-0.00
- YES
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
14 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.04
$0.02
- YES
Will Elon tweet 295–309 times August 29–September 5?
11980 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2025$0.00
$-11.98
- YES
Will LaMelo Ball lead the NBA in Assists?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Michael Bloomberg win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
7000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Ana Birchall win the Romanian presidential election?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Robert Habeck be the next Chancellor of Germany?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- GRIZZLIES
Grizzlies vs. Thunder
417 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- KINGS
Nuggets vs. Kings
300 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-77.98
- HORNETS
Hornets vs. Pistons
238 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$1.01Jun 2, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in May 2026?$1.44Jun 1, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$1.00May 23, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in May 2026?$1.44May 22, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.06May 21, 18:33 UTC
- REDEEMKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?$1.43May 2, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$1.01May 1, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$1.05May 1, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill BNB reach $700 in April?$11.02May 1, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $0.80 in April?$1.01May 1, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $50 in April?$1.23May 1, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$1.45May 1, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$1.00Apr 30, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BNB reach $700 in April?$11.00Apr 30, 20:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$1.44Apr 30, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$1.05Apr 29, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $50 in April?$1.23Apr 28, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$1.44Apr 27, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$1.44Apr 26, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $0.80 in April?$1.01Apr 25, 17:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $2.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 5, 21:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 06:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".