Frail-Mapping
0x4ea0d6717f2f925d642ab84eee26e1c85f9e2563
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-405.16
Realised
$-3.19
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
325 shares @ 72.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-235.60
- YES
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
182 shares @ 80.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-146.37
- NO
Will Trump say "Hunter" during the debate?
36 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Putin" during the debate?
36 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?$14.29May 23, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?$10.16May 23, 19:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$1.0KMay 5, 20:00 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.05May 4, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$280.42May 3, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$100.36May 3, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$100.32May 3, 18:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$18.85May 3, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$100.57May 3, 18:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$2.00May 3, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$100.69May 3, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$100.69May 3, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$100.72May 3, 18:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$45.25May 3, 18:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$45.25May 3, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$10.12May 3, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$10.12May 3, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$101.14May 3, 18:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$90.00May 3, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$13.32May 3, 17:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $57.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 9, 02:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 20:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".