Extra-Small-Release
0x4ea331abc03ddaf5d59145c634e807bed12775e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C or higher on December 11?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on December 11?
500 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-4.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 53-54°F on December 10?
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-9.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 48-49°F on December 5?
200 shares @ 18.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-37.88
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on December 10?
200 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-8.20
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
61 shares @ 24.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-15.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 33-34°F on December 8?
50 shares @ 28.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-14.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 35-36°F on December 8?
50 shares @ 55.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-27.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 56-57°F on December 7?
50 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
32 shares @ 27.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-8.90
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C on December 11?$15.00Dec 13, 11:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on December 11?$33.00Dec 13, 11:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 49 °F or below on December 5?$7.00Dec 11, 07:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 50–51 °F on December 5?$7.00Dec 11, 07:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 31-32°F on December 5?$10.00Dec 11, 07:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 47–48 °F on December 6?$20.00Dec 11, 07:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on December 7?$50.00Dec 11, 07:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be between 50-51°F on December 5?$200.00Dec 11, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C or higher on December 11?$1.00Dec 11, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on December 11?$4.50Dec 11, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on December 11?$1.24Dec 11, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on December 11?$2.33Dec 11, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on December 11?$1.55Dec 11, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C on December 11?$4.95Dec 11, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on December 10?$2.98Dec 10, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 53-54°F on December 10?$8.69Dec 10, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on December 10?$0.38Dec 10, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 53-54°F on December 10?$0.18Dec 10, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 53-54°F on December 10?$0.02Dec 10, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 53-54°F on December 10?$0.10Dec 10, 08:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $9.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 5, 21:07 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 13, 11:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.