Old-Fashioned-Tabletop
0x4ea3ceddbbdf86ed12a0578a7f0029a05940b142
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$6.02
Total PnL
$-19.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
3 shares @ 30.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$3.30
$2.31
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 10?
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$1.59
$0.59
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 12?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$1.14
$0.14
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
350 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-19.99
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 12?
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 12?
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 5?
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$20.00Feb 15, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$1.00Feb 14, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 12?$1.00Feb 12, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 12?$1.00Feb 11, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 12?$1.00Feb 11, 02:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$0.13Feb 10, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 10?$1.00Feb 10, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?$1.05Feb 10, 01:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $2k or $3k first?$1.14Feb 10, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?$1.00Feb 5, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $2k or $3k first?$1.00Feb 5, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 5?$1.00Feb 5, 00:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$0.97Feb 5, 00:07 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?$0.97Feb 5, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?$1.00Feb 4, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$1.00Feb 4, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$1.00Feb 4, 22:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $2.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 4, 22:28 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 15, 09:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".