Probable-Humanity
0x4ea57b5f07ff83db1922a750254317293792177e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-63.09
Realised
$-6.94
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- SABALENKA
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UNDER
SBV Excelsior vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-02-01?
15 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- OVER
Nets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 225.5
13 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-7.32
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
10 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.91
- YES
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-02-01?
8 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DJOKOVIC
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic
7 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-01-31?
7 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 225.5$7.32Feb 20, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYCA Paranaense vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5$2.00Feb 19, 22:56 UTC
- REDEEMFenerbahçe SK vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5$1.33Feb 19, 22:53 UTC
- REDEEMQatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Karen Khachanov$2.15Feb 19, 22:53 UTC
- REDEEMDubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Coco Gauff vs Alexandra Eala$2.90Feb 19, 22:53 UTC
- REDEEMDubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Mirra Andreeva vs Amanda Anisimova$2.94Feb 19, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYDubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Mirra Andreeva vs Amanda Anisimova$1.47Feb 19, 12:19 UTC
- REDEEMNew Delhi: Alexandr Binda vs Jay Clarke$1.47Feb 19, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYLille OSC vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 1.5$1.30Feb 19, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYFenerbahçe SK vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5$1.00Feb 19, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Delhi: Alexandr Binda vs Jay Clarke$1.00Feb 19, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYDaegu Pegasus vs. Seoul Knights$2.00Feb 19, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYQatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Karen Khachanov$2.00Feb 19, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYDubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Coco Gauff vs Alexandra Eala$2.00Feb 19, 03:32 UTC
- TRADESELLDelray Beach Open: Marcos Giron vs Casper Ruud$2.10Feb 19, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYDelray Beach Open: Marcos Giron vs Casper Ruud$2.00Feb 19, 03:13 UTC
- TRADESELLDelray Beach Open: Marcos Giron vs Casper Ruud$4.00Feb 19, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYDelray Beach Open: Marcos Giron vs Casper Ruud$1.00Feb 19, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYDelray Beach Open: Marcos Giron vs Casper Ruud$2.00Feb 19, 01:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5$1.25Feb 18, 23:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $1.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 9, 11:16 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 20, 01:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".