Thick-Acquaintance
0x4ea8e76bc77e56d70729abdd71fb15e8f3d1b937
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$10.51
Total PnL
$2.51
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 23?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.57
$2.57
- NO
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$1.89
$0.89
- YES
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$1.37
$0.37
- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 24?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.33
$0.33
- NO
Maduro out in 2025?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.30
$0.30
- NO
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 24?
1 shares @ 94.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$1.05
$0.05
- NO
Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in September?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Over $20M committed to the Paystream raise on MetaDAO?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMaduro out in 2025?$1.00Oct 25, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$1.00Oct 25, 20:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation increase by 2.9% or less in September?$1.12Oct 24, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?$1.00Oct 23, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 3.0% in September?$1.00Oct 23, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by October 24?$1.00Oct 23, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 2.9% or less in September?$1.00Oct 23, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on October 24?$1.00Oct 23, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $20M committed to the Paystream raise on MetaDAO?$1.00Oct 23, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on October 23?$1.00Oct 23, 16:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 23, 16:49 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 25, 20:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".