Rotten-Water
0x4eabb213dcd13346afa14d9e23a499d945dc4428
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-323.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 2?
590 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-295.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $76,000 on February 5?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on February 27?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 7?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
400 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 4?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on March 2?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 10?
249 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 3?
207 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.73
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 5?
207 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-6.62
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on April 4?$100.09Apr 8, 00:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 5?$230.43Apr 8, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on April 4?$100.00Apr 4, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 5?$230.00Apr 4, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 23-29?$1.00Mar 28, 14:03 UTC
- REWARD$1.02Mar 27, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 26?$2.00Mar 26, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 25?$250.75Mar 26, 13:51 UTC
- REWARD$0.16Mar 26, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 25?$250.00Mar 25, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,800 March 16-22?$215.43Mar 25, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,800 March 16-22?$215.00Mar 20, 13:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 19?$140.56Mar 20, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 19?$140.00Mar 19, 10:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 17?$165.66Mar 18, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 17?$165.00Mar 17, 07:42 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - March 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$580.00Mar 14, 12:52 UTC
- SPLITXRP Up or Down - March 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$580.00Mar 13, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $58,000 March 9-15?$1.00Mar 13, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$4.00Mar 13, 10:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $95.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 09:12 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 8, 00:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.