Verifiable-Dump
0x4ead9a322b71ce2c94e4feff06d01991626dba24
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$-30.08
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
1877 shares @ 17.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-323.92
- NO
US government shutdown in 2025?
1180 shares @ 62.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-732.34
- NO
Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?
1150 shares @ 20.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-234.50
- YES
Will "Nobody 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $14m?
1000 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Ethereum all time high before October?
900 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-105.00
- YES
Will FrP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
550 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-99.00
- YES
Will four or more people dissent the September Fed decision?
450 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-63.00
- NO
Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?
412 shares @ 24.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?
185 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-74.00
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $4000 August 4–10?
179 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill four or more people dissent the September Fed decision?$19.50Sep 17, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill four or more people dissent the September Fed decision?$14.00Sep 17, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill four or more people dissent the September Fed decision?$29.50Sep 17, 05:25 UTC
- TRADESELLUS government shutdown in 2025?$63.00Sep 17, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown in 2025?$61.42Sep 16, 15:44 UTC
- TRADESELLUS government shutdown in 2025?$61.42Sep 16, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown in 2025?$38.47Sep 16, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown in 2025?$25.19Sep 16, 11:14 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$54.79Sep 16, 10:53 UTC
- TRADESELLSkye Valadez confirmed perp?$8.80Sep 14, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$99.23Sep 12, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYSkye Valadez confirmed perp?$96.00Sep 12, 08:52 UTC
- TRADESELLLord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?$195.30Sep 12, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?$227.74Sep 7, 08:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?$227.09Sep 5, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYLord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?$87.40Aug 27, 06:29 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael withdraws from Gaza in 2025?$30.38Aug 27, 06:27 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?$56.21Aug 27, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?$74.00Aug 26, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?$56.40Aug 26, 03:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $102.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 22, 04:36 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 17, 06:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".