Chilly-Emery
0x4eb530365c10bfa8f30c17174e5ac443158f1b98
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$1.14
Total PnL
$-1.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$1.14Jan 18, 16:38 UTC
- TRADESELLUS confirms Havana Syndrome–causing device by March 31?$1.05Jan 17, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS confirms Havana Syndrome–causing device by March 31?$1.12Jan 14, 22:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?$1.19Jan 11, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?$1.19Jan 8, 01:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ordinary - Alex Warren be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$2.60Jan 6, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ordinary - Alex Warren be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$2.60Jan 1, 02:11 UTC
- TRADESELLUS national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?$1.38Dec 31, 00:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.98Dec 24, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00Dec 12, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLXi Jinping out in 2025?$1.01Dec 12, 03:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$1.49Dec 12, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$1.44Dec 6, 06:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?$3.51Dec 5, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bianca Censori be the #2 searched person on Google this year?$1.47Dec 5, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?$1.36Dec 2, 10:20 UTC
- TRADESELLHyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?$1.24Nov 29, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out in 2025?$1.01Nov 28, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?$1.32Nov 23, 06:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 157m?$1.84Nov 17, 16:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $1.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 21:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 18, 16:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.