Icky-Polarisation
0x4ebc9fca54869beead0a52ba01379606e6dcf31f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$29.21
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- MAVERICKS
Suns vs. Mavericks
550 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-269.50
- HORNETS
Hornets vs. Pacers
500 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-265.00
- CHARGERS
Chargers vs. Jaguars
500 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-295.00
- YES
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-05?
500 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-199.99
- NO
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-04?
400 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-240.00
- YES
Will Microsoft dip to $360 in February?
125 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.25
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
76 shares @ 43.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-32.99
- KENT STATE GOLDEN FLASHES
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Toledo
40 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-9.60
- YES
Will Belgium win on 2025-11-15?
40 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-23.19
- YES
Will Benfica win on 2025-09-16?
25 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.71Feb 26, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft dip to $360 in February?$1.25Feb 25, 19:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$212.43Feb 25, 14:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$336.57Feb 25, 10:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$49.16Feb 25, 07:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$6.55Feb 25, 07:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$0.35Feb 25, 07:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$5.97Feb 25, 07:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$1.00Feb 25, 07:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$117.25Feb 25, 07:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$18.39Feb 24, 19:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$9.96Feb 24, 19:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$17.16Feb 24, 19:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$1.00Feb 24, 18:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$127.43Feb 24, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$2.00Feb 24, 18:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$42.71Feb 24, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$28.68Feb 24, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$252.42Feb 24, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$5.17Feb 24, 15:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $116.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 15, 15:29 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 26, 00:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".