Threadbare-Kite
0x4ebd1fda0248a1ee4cda688c82fe13e79a680e8c
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
88
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-247.81
Realised
$44.09
Win rate
100%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 88- NO
Fabric FDV above $200M one day after launch?
1113 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-9.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
892 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-35.96
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
307 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
248 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-7.95
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
220 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
217 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
192 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$1.00Mar 2, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March?$1.00Mar 2, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?$6.00Mar 2, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.00Feb 28, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$1.00Feb 28, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$1.00Feb 28, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$2.09Feb 28, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.00Feb 28, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.00Feb 28, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$1.00Feb 28, 11:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$0.00Feb 28, 11:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$4.68Feb 28, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$3.00Feb 28, 11:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$0.00Feb 28, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYFabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?$2.00Feb 28, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYFabric FDV above $200M one day after launch?$1.00Feb 28, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$7.45Feb 28, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$6.00Feb 28, 09:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$3.18Feb 28, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$1.00Feb 28, 09:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $2.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 17:10 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 2, 07:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.