0x4ec587c78cb7a7c1731c906eaf2b721c26b77785
0x4ec587c78cb7a7c1731c906eaf2b721c26b77785
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$1.00
Total PnL
$-0.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022?
1 shares @ 11.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2022$1.00
$0.89
- YES
Will OpenSea launch a token by the end of 2021?
4 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2021$0.00
$-0.45
- YES
Will it be possible to shop on Amazon using Bitcoin in the US before 2022?
3 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2022$0.00
$-0.19
- BARCELONA
Will Barcelona or Bayern Munich win their Champions League match on September 14?
3 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 14, 2021$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021?
2 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2021$0.00
$-0.14
- YES
Will it be possible to buy a Tesla online in the US using Bitcoin before 2022?
2 shares @ 13.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2022$0.00
$-0.27
- YES
Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by October 15?
2 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2021$0.00
$-0.12
- NO
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on September 30, 2021?
1 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2021$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will the Liberal Party win a majority in the 2021 Canadian federal election?
1 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2021$0.00
$-0.14
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".