Honored-Festival
0x4ec775fad2c14214880b418902267e9640286aad
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
68
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$-3.85
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 68- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
527 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
399 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
383 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
372 shares @ 67.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-250.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
248 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
244 shares @ 21.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-52.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
202 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
195 shares @ 25.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.00May 14, 11:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 11?$0.00May 14, 11:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?$0.00May 14, 11:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?$0.00May 14, 11:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11?$0.00May 14, 11:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.00May 14, 11:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.00May 14, 11:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.00May 14, 11:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.00May 14, 11:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$0.00May 14, 11:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$0.00May 14, 11:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$0.00May 14, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?$5.33May 11, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?$5.32May 11, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 11?$1.05May 11, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11?$1.07May 11, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?$5.33May 11, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?$5.31May 11, 13:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$0.00May 11, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$10.30May 11, 13:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $5.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 16:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 11:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.