Outlandish-Arcade
0x4ec887fc34247562c8f1db0531f186f05c57620c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-114.65
Realised
$-8.99
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July?
358 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Peanut" this week?
140 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2025$0.00
$-64.28
- YES
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times August 1–August 8?
138 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.38
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 240–254 times August 1–August 8?$1.38Aug 5, 14:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 240–254 times August 1–August 8?$1.25Aug 5, 14:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 225–239 times August 1–August 8?$0.13Aug 5, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 240–254 times August 1–August 8?$12.79Aug 3, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 225–239 times August 1–August 8?$10.00Aug 3, 17:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 225–239 times August 1–August 8?$8.24Aug 3, 17:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 240–254 times August 1–August 8?$14.55Aug 3, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 225–239 times August 1–August 8?$12.03Aug 2, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 240–254 times August 1–August 8?$12.00Aug 2, 19:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 165–179 times August 1–August 8?$17.28Aug 2, 18:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 150–164 times August 1–August 8?$6.75Aug 2, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 165–179 times August 1–August 8?$17.28Aug 1, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 150–164 times August 1–August 8?$15.00Aug 1, 17:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 165–179 times July 25–August 1?$15.40Aug 1, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 165–179 times July 25–August 1?$15.00Aug 1, 11:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 180–194 times July 25–August 1?$0.34Aug 1, 09:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 165–179 times July 25–August 1?$6.00Aug 1, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 165–179 times July 25–August 1?$10.00Aug 1, 08:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tag @realDonaldTrump on X in July?$0.00Aug 1, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Brazil in July?$0.00Aug 1, 08:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $19.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 30, 16:47 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 5, 14:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".