Composed-Retouching
0x4ec95c3b377791b087205c3eda3b825564e6be0d
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
63
Open notional
$7.57
Total PnL
$-183.36
Realised
$5.45
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 63- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
291 shares @ 2.3¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.51
$-2.12
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
19 shares @ 18.3¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.06
$-0.45
- NO
Google Maps renames it "Gulf of America" before March?
5616 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-12.55
- NO
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?
1283 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.19
- YES
Was JFK assassination an inside job?
1024 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-17.59
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
365 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-13.68
- NO
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 1 ET?
357 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.37
- NO
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?
324 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 0–5%?
131 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 31?
121 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-12.25
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 19, 00:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 18, 00:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 17, 00:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Netherlands recognize Palestine in 2025?$0.00Jan 11, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?$2.72Dec 5, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill ARC Raiders be the #1 searched game on Google this year?$2.72Dec 5, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?$5.10Dec 3, 20:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid win on 2025-12-03?$5.10Dec 3, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win on 2025-12-03?$1.88Dec 3, 11:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2025-12-02?$1.89Dec 3, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win on 2025-12-03?$1.00Dec 2, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2025-12-02?$1.00Dec 2, 18:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?$1.01Dec 2, 18:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill New Zealand win?$0.98Dec 2, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$1.09Dec 2, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand win?$1.00Dec 2, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?$1.00Dec 2, 13:14 UTC
- TRADESELLOver 20M humans verified on World Network by December 31?$2.04Dec 2, 13:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$0.17Dec 2, 13:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $1.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 25, 17:23 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".