Knobby-Instrument
0x4ec967a21f7fdcf03a105553a523c7eb0bd69aba
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$25.00
Total PnL
$7.84
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump’s approval rating be 43.5–43.9% on August 8?
8 shares @ 47.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$8.00
$4.24
- UP
XRP Up or Down - August 19, 12AM ET
7 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2025$7.00
$3.50
- OVER
Baylor vs. SMU: O/U 64.5
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 6, 2025$5.00
$2.50
- YES
Will anyone say "Streaming" during the Q2 2025 AMC earnings call?
5 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2025$5.00
$2.10
- YES
Will Powell say "Rate cut" during Jackson Hole speech on August 22?
5 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2025$0.00
$-2.60
- DREAM
Dream vs Liberty
5 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBaylor vs. SMU: O/U 64.5$2.50Sep 6, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Rate cut" during Jackson Hole speech on August 22?$2.60Aug 22, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 19, 12AM ET$3.50Aug 18, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Streaming" during the Q2 2025 AMC earnings call?$2.90Aug 10, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be 43.5–43.9% on August 8?$3.76Aug 7, 09:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150k in April?$1.20Aug 7, 09:42 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 317: Amil vs. Delgado$5.00Aug 7, 09:42 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Magny vs. dos Santos$5.00Aug 7, 09:42 UTC
- REDEEMGoff vs. Ko$5.50Aug 7, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Magny vs. dos Santos$1.80Jul 31, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYDream vs Liberty$1.90Jul 13, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 317: Amil vs. Delgado$2.90Jun 28, 09:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $8000 in May?$1.30Jun 12, 08:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $6000 in April?$1.30Jun 12, 08:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $200k in April?$1.41Jun 12, 08:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill NDP win between 21 and 25 seats in the next Canadian Election?$1.51Jun 12, 08:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $6000 in May?$1.51Jun 12, 08:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $8000 in April?$1.60Jun 12, 08:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Jaguars make the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?$1.90Jun 12, 08:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $40k in April?$2.31Jun 12, 08:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $4.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 08:09 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 6, 08:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".