Assured-Vermicelli
0x4ecaf518777e21e59e46142471b4aef1d7be9a13
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-309.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
8167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-49.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
3444 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-110.00
- YES
Will weed be rescheduled in 2023?
833 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2023$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
US military intervention by Oct 31?
597 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2023$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict?
417 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2023$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$49.00Jul 28, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?$110.00Jul 28, 18:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be a US government shutdown by November 19?$285.50Nov 16, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict?$50.00Oct 15, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a US government shutdown by November 19?$50.00Oct 15, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a US government shutdown by November 19?$100.00Oct 15, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS military intervention by Oct 31?$50.00Oct 15, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill weed be rescheduled in 2023?$50.00Sep 13, 22:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its March meeting?$0.00Sep 13, 19:06 UTC
- REDEEMzkSync airdrop by June 1?$0.00Sep 13, 19:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its March meeting?$0.00Sep 13, 19:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its June meeting?$0.00Sep 13, 19:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Grayscale win v. SEC?$394.32Aug 29, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grayscale win v. SEC?$250.00Aug 23, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its June meeting?$100.00Jun 4, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYzkSync airdrop by June 1?$300.00Mar 30, 21:20 UTC
- TRADESELLArbitrum airdrop by March 31st?$235.00Mar 16, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its March meeting?$57.00Mar 12, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its March meeting?$54.01Mar 11, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYArbitrum airdrop by March 31st?$55.00Mar 11, 12:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $119.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 12:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 18:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".