0x4ece4126d3a15dfd3ba0185ef0f92faee9e0ea31
0x4ece4126d3a15dfd3ba0185ef0f92faee9e0ea31
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$16.18
Total PnL
$-89.17
Realised
$-43.89
Win rate
0%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 2.00T and 2.25T?
10 shares @ 82.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$9.40
$1.20
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 7PM ET
5 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$5.00
$3.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
14 shares @ 28.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.78
$-2.21
- UP
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
117 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-6.13
- UP
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 7PM ET
76 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.04
- YES
Will Otto Ritter win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?
34 shares @ 11.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.89
- NO
Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?
34 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.37
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on May 12?
34 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.37
- YES
Ethereum above 2,355 on May 12, 9PM ET?
23 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.63
- NO
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-04-18?
17 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.88
Recent activity
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - June 5, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$0.00Jun 6, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 5, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$1.44Jun 5, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 5, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$0.04Jun 5, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 5, 7PM ET$2.00Jun 5, 23:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 6?$1.24Jun 5, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 6?$2.52Jun 5, 23:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$0.70Jun 5, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$1.31Jun 5, 23:22 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - May 22, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$5.00May 25, 22:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $1.30 on May 22?$0.00May 25, 22:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 22?$0.00May 25, 22:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 22?$0.00May 23, 07:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,050 on May 22?$0.00May 23, 07:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,000 on May 22?$0.00May 23, 07:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$0.00May 22, 23:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4PM ET$0.00May 22, 23:19 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 22, 4PM ET$0.00May 22, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - May 22, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$1.90May 22, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$2.49May 22, 22:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 22?$0.93May 22, 22:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $1.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 19:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 00:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".