Esteemed-Cabinet-Disclosure
0x4ecfe7345a1e829329e0ca7816c1e927cacf75d2
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$154.48
Total PnL
$2.06
Realised
$0.23
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the June meeting?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.25
$15.25
- NO
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
27 shares @ 49.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$17.64
$4.64
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
57 shares @ 23.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.10
$3.10
- YES
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
39 shares @ 12.7¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.36
$7.36
- YES
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?
30 shares @ 25.3¢·now 36.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$10.80
$3.20
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 1.5¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.70
$3.20
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
130 shares @ 7.9¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.21
$-0.06
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?
32 shares @ 24.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$6.89
$-0.80
- YES
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
10 shares @ 49.0¢·now 67.2¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$6.71
$1.81
- NO
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
40 shares @ 13.1¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jan 10, 2027$6.52
$1.33
Recent activity
- REDEEMGermany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score$32.26Jun 14, 19:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on June 14?$5.00Jun 14, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June?$0.50Jun 14, 14:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 14?$0.01Jun 14, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Germany (-3.5)$22.34Jun 14, 12:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET$10.31Jun 14, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score$10.21Jun 14, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET$5.01Jun 14, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET$5.01Jun 14, 11:56 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on June 14?$3.26Jun 14, 11:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET$24.49Jun 14, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET$5.13Jun 14, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET$5.14Jun 14, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET$5.14Jun 14, 10:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?$0.28Jun 14, 10:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon SBF by July 31?$0.48Jun 14, 10:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$1.19Jun 14, 10:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?$0.00Jun 14, 09:30 UTC
- REDEEMAI data center moratorium passed before 2027?$0.00Jun 14, 09:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia win on 2026-06-14?$10.00Jun 14, 08:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $5.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 19:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 19:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.