Agonizing-Complication
0x4ed3a34ab8d94ca317270c249f54718552fe0527
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
68
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$9.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 68- NO
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?
16500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-33.00
- NO
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?
5401 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-171.00
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
5299 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-688.99
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
1901 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
1156 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
1125 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
1057 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
1055 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
784 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?$10.00Feb 7, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 4 days or more?$33.00Feb 1, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 3 days or more?$33.00Feb 1, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 4 days or more?$120.00Feb 1, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 4 days or more?$18.00Feb 1, 09:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$19.22Feb 1, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$75.00Jan 31, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$25.00Jan 31, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$29.00Jan 31, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$20.00Jan 30, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$150.00Jan 30, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$100.00Jan 30, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$10.00Jan 26, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$300.00Jan 25, 15:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$12.21Jan 25, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$9.00Jan 25, 15:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$105.93Jan 25, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$1.00Jan 25, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$5.00Jan 25, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$10.00Jan 25, 15:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $38.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 20, 06:36 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 7, 18:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".