Golden-Federation
0x4ed9892d75a3d838a30e355803a3c42a70792be0
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-87.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?
48280 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-48.28
- YES
Will Hillary say "Prince" during her Epstein testimony?
2104 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump say "GOAT" or "Greatest Of All Time" during Inter Miami events on Thursday?
765 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
20 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-8.86
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$9.00Mar 7, 14:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mohammad-Reza Modarresi Yazdi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$9.00Mar 7, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mohammad-Reza Modarresi Yazdi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$18.00Mar 7, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?$48.28Mar 6, 06:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$48.28Mar 6, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$74.38Mar 5, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary say "Prince" during her Epstein testimony?$20.00Mar 5, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "GOAT" or "Greatest Of All Time" during Inter Miami events on Thursday?$10.00Mar 5, 22:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $29.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 22:48 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 7, 14:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.