Timely-Mobile
0x4edfae4cfdb5c38df7be197e645ba50ba93ef16f
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$89.67
Win rate
85%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in June?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
200 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
199 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
150 shares @ 33.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
125 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
109 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.31
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
103 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$5.20Jul 26, 19:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$1.92Jul 26, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$1.03Jul 26, 19:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$10.00Jul 26, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$5.17Jul 26, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$5.17Jul 26, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$10.60Jul 26, 19:07 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 26, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$21.29Jul 26, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 26, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$20.20Jul 26, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 26, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$10.34Jul 26, 18:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2PM ET$9.71Jul 26, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2PM ET$10.36Jul 26, 18:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2PM ET$11.17Jul 26, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2PM ET$10.38Jul 26, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$10.43Jul 26, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$10.26Jul 26, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$10.57Jul 26, 18:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$20.97Jul 26, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$10.50Jul 26, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$1.03Jul 26, 17:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
49/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
85% win rate over 20 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
20 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $8.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 13:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 26, 19:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.