Crooked-Noir
0x4ee29e4e7d4c380babeae5e22e5c02400c2246e1
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-267.4K
Realised
$26.3K
Win rate
65%
123 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 28?
55126 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 17?
23060 shares @ 22.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.1K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 11?
22216 shares @ 48.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-10.8K
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 6?
20763 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-762.39
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 21?
20359 shares @ 21.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.4K
- YES
Will Solana reach $150 in January?
18403 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.7K
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 11?
17995 shares @ 48.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-8.8K
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on February 24?
16443 shares @ 55.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-9.1K
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 21?
15903 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.2K
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on February 28?
14699 shares @ 34.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.0K
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 28?$36.11Jul 28, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 4?$11.98Jul 28, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 4?$2.48Jul 28, 18:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 28?$3.2KJul 28, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 4?$8.82Jul 28, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 28?$12.77Jul 28, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 28?$2.6KJul 28, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 28?$13.75Jul 28, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 28?$6.80Jul 28, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 28?$71.00Jul 28, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 28?$24.86Jul 28, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 28?$2.33Jul 28, 15:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on July 27?$37.98Jul 28, 04:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $72,000 on July 27?$18.39Jul 28, 04:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $66,000 on July 27?$40.38Jul 28, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on July 27?$6.21Jul 28, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on July 27?$6.84Jul 28, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on July 27?$4.14Jul 28, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on July 27?$6.80Jul 28, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on July 27?$6.83Jul 28, 03:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
75/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
65% win rate over 123 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
123 closed markets, 65% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $68.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 02:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 18:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 123 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.